Small business confidence improved in June as owners reported stronger expectations for business conditions, sales and capital investment.
The National Federation of Independent Business Small Business Optimism Index rose 2.1 points to 97.4, moving close to its 52-year average of 98. Expectations for better business conditions improved for the first time this year, while expectations for higher real sales also posted a strong gain. Twenty percent of owners plan to make capital investments in the next six months, the highest reading of 2026.
“The improvement in sales expectations and capital investment plans is an encouraging sign,” said Jacob Sargent, director of public policy services for the Ohio Manufacturers’ Association. “Business owners remain cautious, but the June results suggest confidence is beginning to return as financing costs ease and the economic outlook improves.”
There were also positive signs on financing and future pricing. The average rate paid on short-term loans fell to its lowest level since October 2022, and the share of owners planning near-term price increases declined. Inflation remains the top concern, but the June results suggest business owners are feeling more confident about the months ahead. 7/22/2026