Electricity costs are climbing, and reporting from Spectrum News and Hannah News Service shows the fight over who should pay for grid expansion intensifying as utilities and manufacturers clash over the assumptions driving future demand. Missing from much of the public debate is how the numbers behind these investments are created in the first place. In a recent filing, American Electric Power (AEP) Ohio acknowledged its earlier 30,000-megawatt projections were “purely speculative,” even as planning decisions tied to future growth continue moving forward. Manufacturers argue that when early-stage requests shape transmission planning, paper forecasts quickly turn into real costs for captive customers.
“What happened was they have used this number that they were never using for planning to create an impression of urgency with a lot of data center load,” Ohio Manufacturers’ Association (OMA) energy engineer John Seryak told Columbus Business First. “And then when calls for load forecast integrity investigation started to come up, they said, ‘Oh, well, we’ll cut it.’
“That number was never real.”
Ohio manufacturers are not opposing growth; they are challenging a system that allows speculation to influence billion-dollar infrastructure decisions before projects are proven. When assumptions are treated like guaranteed load, risk shifts away from utilities and onto customers who have no choice but to pay the bill.
“Ohio families and manufacturers should not be financing a hypothetical future,” said Lindsey Short, OMA managing director of energy and advocacy services. “If the load is real, prove it. If it is speculative, stop asking customers to underwrite it.” 2/18/2026