Ohio’s 2026 statewide races are taking shape as competitive contests, with Republicans holding an edge, but not a commanding one. Cook Political Report recently moved the governor’s race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican and shifted the Senate race from Lean Republican to Toss Up, signaling that both marquee races are firmly in play.
A recent BGSU/YouGov poll found Republican Vivek Ramaswamy leading Democrat Amy Acton 48% to 47% in the governor’s race, while Republican Jon Husted led Democrat Sherrod Brown 50% to 47% in the U.S. Senate contest. An Echelon poll pointed in the same direction, showing Ramaswamy ahead of Acton 49% to 44% and Husted leading Brown 51% to 45%.
The BGSU poll also found a sour public mood, with 55% of voters saying the country is on the wrong track and 46% saying the same about Ohio. In a memo on the survey, strategy consultant Scott Millburn wrote, “The current data represents a soft warning but not one that rises to a more definitive, uniform, anti-incumbent sentiment.”
Ryan Augsburger, president of the Ohio Manufacturers’ Association, said that competitive environment is exactly why these races matter to manufacturers.
“Close races are good for manufacturers because they force candidates to compete for support instead of taking Ohio’s industrial base for granted,” he added. “That creates more pressure to offer serious answers on energy, runaway utility spending, workforce and the cost of doing business.” 4/23/2026